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fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politics FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. No place like 'Nam. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. This is the final episode. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. 3 min read. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. Good Sport on Apple Podcasts Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. Whereas Tester . Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. Missed Deliveries for February 2023 | by Podcast Delivery | Podcast The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. This is the second episode. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' By May 21, 2021 0 . And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. NEW TOWN . 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Good Sport | Podcasts | TED Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. 11:03 AM. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. FiveThirtyEight - Media Bias/Fact Check Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. robert kraft granddaughter. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year.

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fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts